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#022 India to a take a leadership position in the Global SaaS Market

Wed, 23 Feb 2022 11:49:48 GMT

Cornerstone Ventures

The Market Shift: $300 billion of new value to capture

  • While the global SaaS market is expected to grow to more than $1 Trillion in the next 5-7 years, India’s share of this opportunity is rapidly moving to 30%+ of this market!

  • Currently, the global SaaS market is worth, $250-300 billion, with India’s share at about 7-9%, that’s a little short of ~$20 billion (refer: Bain’s India SaaS report), but by 2027-9, it would be ~30% of a $ trillion market, that’s about $300 billion in terms of the size of market that Indian SaaS firms will capture!

  • It’s this market shift that we are investing in - a 15X growth in the opportunity base itself ($20 billion to $300 billion) – we will capture some the most promising opportunities that drive this market shift over the next few years!

India has the DNA for capitalizing on this Market Shift:

  • India has been a world leader in IT Services for decades – we know how to build Enterprise Applications – traditionally ‘on premise’; as the world moves towards cloud adoption and productization of these capabilities, who better positioned that India to productize these capabilities and switch over to SaaS models!

  • We have the talent pool (5 million plus developers), we have the domain knowledge, we know how to work with a large global Enterprise client base – we have done this for decades!

  • Our talent pools are positioned to rapidly adopt SaaS models for software-delivery – and we are already witnessing this market shift accelerate (about 30% of our developer pool is already working on SaaS models)!

  • We believe the next 5 years will see the share of SaaS-model based software applications only exponentially increase, leading to a massive unlock of opportunities for India to capture!

India SaaS – ‘timing matters’ – valuations are most attractive today:

  • Early / Emerging growth stage (i.e., Pre-A / Series-A) SaaS companies in mature markets such as the US market, are being valued at 20/30X of their established recurring ARRs (Exit ARR basis).

  • Interestingly in India, we are still able to value such companies anywhere between 5-10X based on model, potential, traction established, existing commitments, etc. (clearly a sane valuation multiple)

  • This creates a very interesting opportunity to go into these companies at attractive (rather palatable valuations) and take a ‘reasonable’ stake to position ourselves for good value realization through the growth journey of these investee companies.

  • For instance, once these companies establish good global traction (with the help of our invested capital for growth), their next rounds happen at much higher multiples, therefore giving us not only the benefit of the growth achieved in ARR but also the benefit of a ‘step-change’ in the valuation multiples that are realized in the future investment rounds.

  • We are positioned to be able to reach the desired 10-20X growth in the value of our stake rather quickly and without the need of our investee companies reaching unicorn status to achieve such an outcome for our investment.

We believe this opportunity window will continue to be available to us for the next 2-3 years at most, as the Indian SaaS market catches up with the mature markets in terms of valuation norms! 

~Abhishek

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